Amateka n'Umuco · Amateka · iminota 9

Amateka y'Uburyo bwa Roulette

Ibinyejana bibiri abantu bandika amategeko yo guhindura ingano y'itega ryabo.

Igisubizo kigufi

Martingale ni iyo mu kinyejana cya 18; D’Alembert yitiriwe umuhanga mu mibare utarayikundaga; Labouchère ni umukino w'umunyapolitiki wo mu gihe cya Victoria. Nta na kimwe muri byo cyakoraga icyo gihe na cyo.

Martingale
ikinyejana cya 18, Ubufaransa
D’Alembert
nyuma ya 1717–1783
Labouchère
ikinyejana cya 19, Ubwongereza
igerageza rya mbere kuri mudasobwa
imyaka ya 1950

Martingale

Izina rikomoka ku mvugo y'urusimbi yo muri Provence (à la martegalo, “nk'abantu b'i Martigues”, bari bazwiho kutitonda) yavugaga itega rikubwa kabiri, ryanditswe mu nkoranyamagambo z'Igifaransa guhera mu myaka ya 1760. Thorp (1984), akurikije American Heritage Dictionary, atanga ubundi busobanuro bwa rubanda: abantu b'i Martigues basekwaga kubera imico idasanzwe, harimo guhambira amapantaro yabo inyuma, bityo iyo mvugo iza gusobanura “mu buryo busekeje”. Mu kinyejana cya 18 i Paris yari isanzwe ari inkuru y'umuburo: Casanova avuga uko yahombye umutungo munini akuba kabiri kuri faro i Venise mu myaka ya 1750. Imibare isobanura impamvu inanirwa, imbibi z'amezaamezaImbibi z'amezaItega rito n'irinini byemewe. Imbibi zo hejuru ni zo zihagarika impererekane zikuba kabiri.Soma byose → n'igishoro cyo gukinaamafarangaIgishoro cyo gukinaAmafaranga yose yashyizwe ku ruhande yo gukina. Gucunga igishoro ni ukwemeza ingano yacyo uzashyira mu kaga kuri buri tega no kuri buri mukino.Soma byose → kigira iherezo, yari izwi mu myaka ya 1770. Muri theory y'amahirweimibareAmahirweAmahirwe y'igisubizo, kuva kuri 0 kugeza kuri 1 cyangwa kuva kuri 0% kugeza kuri 100%. Umubare umwe: 1/37 = 2,70%.Soma byose →, “martingaleingambaMartingaleUruhererekane rw'amatega rukuba itega kabiri nyuma ya buri gutsindwa. Reba igice cy'Ingamba umenye icyo rukora n'icyo rudakora.Soma byose →” yabaye ijambo rya tekiniki mu myaka ya 1930 rivuga umukino uboneyeimibareUmukino utabogamyeUmukino aho nta ruhande rufite inyungu: buri tega rifite agaciro gateganyijwe kangana na zeru.Soma byose →, kandi icyo ni cyo kintu kimwe Martingale ya roulette itari cyo.

Kuri faro i Venise umukinnyi akuba kabiri nyuma yo gutsindwa, nk'uko Casanova yabigenje.

Imbibi z'Amatega ku Meza ya Roulette

D’Alembert

Jean le Rond d’Alembert yavuze muri Encyclopédie (1754) ko nyuma y'uruhererekane rw'ibisubizo bya “heads”, “tails” biba bifite amahirwe menshi yo kuza, ibi bikaba ari bumwe mu buryo bwa mbere ikosa ry'umukinnyi w'urusimbi ryavuzwe n'umuhanga mu mibare ukomeye. Uburyo bwo gutega bwongeraho initeamafarangaIniteItega ry'ibanze uburyo cyangwa umukinnyi akoresha. Impererekane z'amatega zisobanurwa mu nite kugira ngo zikoreshwe ku meza ayo ari yo yose.Soma byose → imwe nyuma yo gutsindwa bukayikuraho nyuma yo gutsinda bwitiriwe izina rye n'abakinnyi b'urusimbi baje nyuma bari bafite iyo myemerere. Si we wabutanze, kandi mu minsi ye myiza yari kubwanga.

Ingamba za Roulette za D'Alembert

Labouchère

Henry LabouchèreingambaLabouchèreUburyo bwo gusiba: andika umurongo w'imibare, utege igiteranyo cy'imibare ibiri yo ku mpera, uyisibe nyuma yo gutsinda, wongereho itega watsinzwe nyuma yo gutsindwa.Soma byose → (1831–1912), umunyamakuru, nyiri inzu y'imikino ya theatre n'intumwa ya rubanda y'ishyaka Liberal, yamenyekanishije uburyo bwo gusiba mu bakire b'i Londres mu myaka ya 1870, kandi bivugwa ko yabukoresheje i Monte Carlo. Ubwo buryo, bwo kwandika umurongo w'imibare no gutega igiteranyo cy'imibare yo ku mpera, bwabayeho mbere ye. Izina rye ryagumyeho kuko yari azwi ku bindi bintu, no kubera ko ubwo buryo bufite umwihariko udasanzwe wo gukora akenshi, bigatuma buba ingingo yo kuganirwaho ku meza y'ifunguro.

Uburyo bwo gutega n'abo bwitiriwe
Imyaka ya 1750

Casanova ahomba akuba kabiri kuri faro. Martingale yari isanzwe ari iya kera.

1754

D’Alembert asohora ikosa ryaje kwitirirwa izina rye nk'uburyo bwo gutega.

Imyaka ya 1760

“Martingale” yinjira mu nkoranyamagambo z'Igifaransa nk'imvugo y'urusimbi.

Imyaka ya 1870

Labouchère amenyekanisha uburyo bwo gusiba i Londres.

Imyaka ya 1890

Impererekane z'amatega za Fibonacci na Paroli zigaragara mu bitabo by'urusimbi.

Imyaka ya 1900

Uburyo bwo gutega “ku bice by'uruziga” bushingiye ku miterere y'uruziga bugurishwa binyuze mu iposita.

1939

Halmos, umunyeshuri wa Doob, agaragaza ko nta buryo bwo gutega bushobora guhindura umukino utakubereye mwiza ngo ube ukubereye mwiza.

Imyaka ya 1950–60

Mudasobwa zigerageza uburyo bwose. Bwose bugaragaza −1/37 by'amafaranga yose yategewe.

ubu

Uburyo nk'ubwo bugurishwa kuri interineti n'ibisubizo nk'ibyo, bugeragezwa muri mushakisha kuri uru rubuga.

Roulette ya Monte CarloIngamba za Roulette za Labouchère

Ikinyejana cya 20

FibonacciingambaFibonacciUruhererekane rw'amatega rukurikiza urutonde 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: intambwe imwe imbere nyuma yo gutsindwa, intambwe ebyiri inyuma nyuma yo gutsinda.Soma byose → na ParoliingambaParoliUruhererekane rw'amatega rwiza: kuba kabiri nyuma yo gutsinda, gusubira ku ntangiriro nyuma yo gutsindwa cyangwa nyuma yo gutsinda gatatu gukurikiranya. Nanone: Martingale ihindukiye.Soma byose → byinjiye mu bitabo by'urusimbi ahagana mu 1900. Hagati mu kinyejana haje uburyo bugurishwa binyuze mu iposita, buri bumwe bufite ubuhamya n'isezerano ryo gusubizwa amafaranga, n'amagerageza ya mbere kuri mudasobwa, yagaragaje ibyo imibare yari isanzwe ivuga. Igihamya cy'uko nta buryo bushobora gukora cyari gisanzweho: Joseph Doob (1936) na Paul Halmos (1939) bagaragaje ko nta tegeko ryo guhitamo igihe n'ingano yo gutega rihindura igisubizo giteganyijwe cy'umukino uboneye cyangwa utakubereye mwiza, kandi isesengura rya Thorp ryo mu 1969 ryasobanuye ibyo bisabwa mu buryo abakinnyi b'urusimbi babihura na byo. Kuva icyo gihe uburyo ntibwahindutse; kwamamaza ni ko kwavuye ku dutabo kujya kuri videwo.

Umukozi agenzura uburyo bwagurishijwe binyuze mu iposita akoresheje igerageza kuri mudasobwa, kandi umurongo uramanuka gusa.

Igihuha: Ingamba za Roulette Zihora ZitsindaIngamba za Roulette za Fibonacci

Impamvu bukomeza kubaho

Uburyo buha umukinnyi icyo akora n'inkuru yo kuvuga. Imikino myinshi ikoresheje uburyo bwinshi irangira ku nyungu nto, kandi iyo ni inkuru nziza kurusha imibare. Imikino ihomba ni mike kandi yibukwa nk'amahirwe mabi. Kwamamaza ntigukeneye kubeshya kuri odds; gukeneye gusa kwerekana umukino watsinze, kandi ni myinshi. Igisubizo kibivuguruza, 2,70% by'amafaranga yose yategeweamafarangaAmafaranga yose yategeweAmafaranga yose yategewe mu mukino umwe cyangwa mu gihe runaka, harimo n'intsinzi zongeye gutegwa. Nanone: handle, action.Soma byose →, kimaze kuboneka kuva mu 1796 kandi nticyigeze cyumvikana nk'ijoro ry'amahirwe.

uburyoikinyejanaicyo bwizerwaga gukoraicyo bukora
Martingale18kwemeza intsinzi ukuba kabiriitsinda bike kenshi; ihomba byinshi gake; −2,70%
D’Alembert18–19gukoresha uburinganire bw'intsinzi n'ibihomboitega rigenda rizamuka; −2,70%
Labouchère19kwemeza igiteranyo cy'umurongoakenshi umurongo urasibika; rimwe na rimwe urakura bikabura uko bigarurwa; −2,70%
Fibonacci19–20Martingale yorohejeizamuka buhoro, umuhanda muremure wo kugwa; −2,70%
Paroli19–20gukurikira uruhererekane rw'intsinziibihombo bito kenshi, intsinzi nini gake; −2,70%
Uburyo bwo ku bice by'uruziga20gukoresha imiterere y'uruziganta cyo; −2,70%

Uburyo bugurishwa

Ubucuruzi bwo mu kinyejana cya 20 bwongeyeho amayeri yabwo, buri yose ari uburyo bushya bwo gutondeka amatega amwe adafite inyungu. Phase One yagurishwaga $25 wongeyeho 10% by'intsinzi z'uwayiguze, hagasezeranwa Phase Two umaze kwishyura $500 n'“Inner Circle” ya $5.000. Nta na kimwe muri byo gihindura imibare: agaciro gateganyijweimibareAgaciro gateganyijweIgisubizo mpuzandengo kuri buri tega mu gihe kirekire. −1/37 y'itega kuri buri tega risanzwe ry'i Burayi.Soma byose → k'uruhererekane rw'amatega ni igiteranyo cy'agaciro gateganyijwe ka buri tega.

uburyoigitekerezoibiba mu by'ukuri
Phase Onenyuma y'umutuku inshuro eshanu, tega ku mukara ukurikije urutonde rwa 5, 25, 70, 200, 500 na 1.000 by'initeizunguruka rya gatandatu riracyari 18/38 ku mutuku; gutsindwa inshuro esheshatu zikurikiranye, hafi 1 kuri 47 ku ruziga rwa zeru ebyiri, bitwara inite 1.800
Gutegereza zerutegereza amazunguruka 40 nta 0 cyangwa 00, hanyuma utege kuri zombi, wongereho inite imwe nyuma ya buri gutsindwazeru ntizigomba kuza: zombi zibura mu mazunguruka 40 hafi rimwe kuri icyenda, kandi izunguruka rikurikira riracyari 2 kuri 38. Gutsindwa izindi nshuro icumi bitwara inite 110; gufata ku ya cumi n'imwe bitanga inyungu nyayo ya 264. Icyo bihindura cyonyine ni amatega make mu gihe utegereje
Favored 5tegereza imibare itanu isubiremo, hanyuma uyitegehoburi ruhererekane rw'amazunguruka rugira imibare isubiramo; ku ruziga rwitaweho neza nta cyo ihanura
Uruziga rwa ROL / BEHamatega ahoraho yishyura kimwe ku kindi, asimburana ku mutuku, itabangikanye, mito no ku mukara, ibangikanye, mininiurukurikirane rw'amatega yigenga, buri rimwe rifite inyungu ya kazino yose
Uburyo “Bwizewe” bwa BartschellyLabouchère ikwirakwiza buri gihombo ku mibare isanzwe aho kucyongera ku mperaumurongo ntujya urushaho kuba muremure; amatega yo arakura uko byagenda kose

Icyo kitari uburyo

Amategeko yo guhagarara: kwiyemeza mbere ingano wahomba cyangwa watsinda hanyuma ukagenda. Akenshi agurishwa nk'igice cy'uburyo kandi ni cyo gice cyonyine kigira icyo gikora, kuko agabanya amafaranga yose yategewe. Nta we yitiriwe, kandi ibyo birakwiye.

Ibibazo

Ni ubuhe buryo bwa kera kurusha ubundi?

Martingale, ku kinyejana cyangwa birenga. Gukuba kabiri nyuma yo gutsindwa ni cyo gitekerezo cya mbere buri wese agira.

Ese hari umuhanga mu mibare wamamaye washyigikiye uburyo runaka?

D’Alembert ni we wabigezeho hafi, atabigambiriye. Pascal, Fermat, Huygens, Bernoulli na Laplace bose basobanuye impamvu bunanirwa.

Kuki uburyo bukigurishwa?

Kuko imikino myinshi itsinda, kandi videwo y'umukino watsinze ikorwa ku giciro gito.

Akanya k'urwenya

Ibinyejana bibiri by'amazina. Umubare umwe.

Ibinyejana bibiri by'amazina. Umubare umwe.

Inkomoko

  1. Thorp, E. O. “Optimal gambling systems for favorable games.” Review of the International Statistical Institute 37(3), 1969.
  2. Thorp, E. O. The Mathematics of Gambling. Gambling Times / Lyle Stuart, 1984.
  3. Doob, J. L. “Note on probability.” Annals of Mathematics 37(2), 1936.
  4. Halmos, P. R. “Invariants of certain stochastic transformations: the mathematical theory of gambling systems.” Duke Mathematical Journal 5(2), 1939.
  5. d’Alembert, J. “Croix ou pile.” Encyclopédie, vol. 4, 1754.
  6. Schwartz, D. G. Roll the Bones: The History of Gambling. Gotham, 2006.
  7. Kavanagh, T. M. Dice, Cards, Wheels: A Different History of French Culture. University of Pennsylvania Press, 2005.
  8. Bollman, M. Mathematics of the Big Four Casino Table Games: Blackjack, Baccarat, Craps, & Roulette. CRC Press, 2021. Igice cya 2, roulette.
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