Ingero Intambwe ku Yindi · Urugero · iminota 7

Urugero: Igicamunsi cya D’Alembert

Inite imwe yiyongera nyuma y'igihombo, inite imwe ikagabanuka nyuma y'intsinzi, umutuku kuri buri zunguruka mu mazunguruka ijana. Uburyo bworoheje kurusha ubundi, n'icyo ubwo bworohere butwara.

Igisubizo kigufi

Umukino wigana ukuri wa D’Alembert w'amazunguruka 100, $5 kuri buri nite. Itega ryasubiye kuri $5 inshuro eshanu, rigenda rizamuka rigera kuri $80 mu gihe kibi, rirangira kuri $55 umukino uri munsi ya $40. Uburyo busa n'uburinganire nyamara butari bwo.

inite
$5 ku mutuku
itegeko
+1 inite nyuma y'igihombo, −1 nyuma y'intsinzi
itega rinini kurusha ayandi
$80
igisubizo
−$40 mu mazunguruka 100

Genda ku buryo

Igihombo kizamura intambwe imwe. Intsinzi isubiza inyuma intambwe imwe.

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itega rikurikira1igisubizo kugeza ubu0amazunguruka0

Amatega n'ibisubizo biri mu nite z'itega ry'ibanze.

Gahunda

Tangirira ku niteamafarangaIniteItega ry'ibanze uburyo cyangwa umukinnyi akoresha. Impererekane z'amatega zisobanurwa mu nite kugira ngo zikoreshwe ku meza ayo ari yo yose.Soma byose → imwe, $5, ku mutukuitegaUmutukuItega ryishyura kimwe ku kindi ku mibare 18 y'umutuku. Mu Gifaransa: rouge.Soma byose →. Nyuma y'igihombo ongeraho inite; nyuma y'intsinzi ukureho imwe, ariko ntujye munsi y'imwe. Igitekerezo, d’Alembert atigeze atanga ariko akagishinjwa, ni uko intsinzi n'ibihombo bizangana, bityo kuri buri gihombo kimwe n'intsinzi imwe tukaba twungutse inite. Imibare ivuga ko umutuku utsinda 48,65% by'amazunguruka, bityo ibihombo bikarusha intsinzi nko ku kimwe kuri mirongo ine, kandi itega rikagenda rizamuka uko igihe kigenda.

Amazunguruka 1–30

Umutuku inshuro cumi n'enye, umukaraitegaUmukaraItega ryishyura kimwe ku kindi ku mibare 18 y'umukara. Mu Gifaransa: noir.Soma byose → cumi n'eshanu, zeruuruzigaZeruAkazu kamwe k'icyatsi katafatwa n'itega ryishyura kimwe ku kindi, irya dazeni cyangwa iry'inkingi; ni ho inyungu ya kazino ikomoka. Nanone: zeru imwe, 0.Soma byose → imwe. Itega ryazamutse rigera kuri $20 mu bihombo bitatu bikurikiranye, risubira kuri $5 ku izunguruka rya 18, rizamuka rigera kuri $25 ku iherezo ry'iki gice. Igisubizo nyacyo +$20. Buri gihombo n'intsinzi byakurikiranye byinjije inite nk'uko byamamazwa; ibihombo by'inyongera byazimiriye. Byiyumvamo nka pompe itinda ikora ahanini.

amazungurukaibisubizoingano z'itegaigisubizo nyacyo
1–6T H H H T T5 → 20 → 10+$10
7–18bivanze, umutuku gato5–15+$40
19–30ahanini umukara5–25−$30
nyuma ya 3014 R · 15 B · zeru 125+$20

Amazunguruka 31–65

Igihe kibi. Umutuku inshuro cumi n'eshatu ugereranyije n'izindi makumyabiri n'ebyiri zitari umutuku, harimo ibihombo birindwi bikurikiranye. Kuva kuri $5 ku izunguruka rya 41, itega ryazamutse inite imwe imwe rigera kuri $80, kandi buri gihombo cya $75 cyasibye intsinzi cumi n'eshanu za $5 zabanje. Igisubizo nyacyo −$485 muri iki gice; byose hamwe −$465. Nta kintu gikomeye cyabaye ku izunguruka na rimwe; ukuzamuka buhoro ni ko kwabikoze.

Uyu mukino n'indi icyenda imeze nka woigisubizo ugereranyije n'intangiriro
+$1.310$0−$500+$955−$2500125250375500amazungurukaigisubizo
imikino 1.000 × amazunguruka 500 · ibara rya move p10/p25/p75/p90, ubururu bworoheje mediane, ingero 83 zoroheje · nyura ku gishushanyo urebe quantile ku izunguruka
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • mediane −$500
  • p75 −$500
  • p90 +$885
imikino 1.000 × amazunguruka 500 · umurongo uhagaze waciwe kuri percentile ya 1–99 (impera −$500 kugeza +$1.410) · amazunguruka 500 · ibanze $5 · kimwe ku kindi
Imirongo izerera kurusha gutega itega rihoraho, ariko munsi ya Martingale. Umusozi w'impuzandengo ni umwe: −1/37 by'amafaranga yose yategewe.
Inite imwe imwe, itega rizamuka riva kuri $5 rigera kuri $80 mu bihombo bikurikiranye.

Amazunguruka 66–100

Umutuku inshuro makumyabiri ugereranyije n'izindi cumi n'eshanu zitari umutuku, itega rimanuka riva kuri $80 rigana kuri $55 mu ntambwe za $5. Buri ntsinzi ku itega rinini yagaruye amafaranga nyayo: intsinzi ya $75 nyuma y'igihombo cya $70 ni igihombo n'intsinzi byinjiza +$5, ariko ni binini. Igisubizo nyacyo +$425 muri iki gice; icya nyuma −$40.

Ibaruramari

Itega ry'impuzandengo nka $37, bityo amafaranga yose yategewe agera kuri $3.670, mu gihe utega $5 ihoraho yari gutega $500. Igihombo giteganyijweimibareIgihombo giteganyijweAgaciro gateganyijwe gakubye amafaranga yose yategewe; igihombo mpuzandengo mu mukino umwe cyangwa mu gihe runaka.Soma byose → kuri $3.670 ni $99; igisubizo nyacyo −$40, kiri munsi y'ikinyuranyo gisanzweimibareIkinyuranyo gisanzweUmuzi wa kare w'ihindagurika; intera isanzwe y'igisubizo uvuye ku gaciro gateganyijwe.Soma byose → kimwe. Ukuzamuka kw'ingano y'itega ni yo ngaruka yonyine y'ubu buryo: amafaranga menshi ku meza, 2,70% imwe ivanwa kuri buri dolari, n'ibisubizo bitandukanye cyane.

Icyo uyu mukino werekana

D’Alembert ni ikosa ry'umukinnyi w'urusimbi ryanditswe nk'itegeko ryo gutega: rikeka ko intsinzi n'ibihombo bizangana vuba bihagije kugira ngo itega rimanuke. Bizangana mu gihe kirekire kubera kuvangwa, si kubera gukosorwa, kandi itega nta mpamvu rifite yo gusubira ku nite imwe. Ni uburyo butinda butagira manga, kandi ubwo butinde ni bwo butuma abakinnyi babwizera.

Kwegerana mu Gihe Kirekire: Itegeko ry'Imibare Minini muri Roulette

Ibibazo

Ese hari ikibazo cy'imbibi nk'icya Martingale?

Ni gake. Itega ryiyongeraho inite imwe kuri buri gihombo, ntirikubwa kabiri, bityo bisaba uruhererekane rubi rurerire cyane kugira ngo rigere ku mbibi.

Nshobora gushyiraho itega ntarengwa?

Yego, kandi iyo ntarengwa ibuhindura gutega itega rihorahoingambaGutega itega rihorahoGutega amafaranga angana kuri buri zunguruka. Ni yo ngero buri ruhererekane rw'amatega rugereranywa na yo.Soma byose → kuri iyo ntarengwa nyuma y'uruhererekane rubi. Ntarengwa iyo ari yo yose ni nziza; nta n'imwe ihindura inyungu ya kazino.

Kuki bwitiriwe d’Alembert?

Mu 1754 yavuze ko ku giceri, uruhande rumwe rugira amahirwe menshi nyuma y'uko urundi ruje inshuro nyinshi zikurikiranye. Abakinnyi b'urusimbi babyemeraga bitiriye ubu buryo izina rye. Yari kugira isoni.

Akanya k'urwenya

Uburyo bworoheje kurusha ubundi. Buzamuka buhoro aho kugwa mu manga.

Uburyo bworoheje kurusha ubundi. Buzamuka buhoro aho kugwa mu manga.

Inkomoko

  1. d’Alembert, J. “Croix ou pile.” Encyclopédie, umubumbe wa 4, 1754.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Igice cya 13, roulette.
byasuzumwe 2026-09-28icyitegererezo: uruziga rw'i Burayi, zeru imweuburyo bwakoreshejwe ↗inkomoko ↗