Ingamba · Uruhererekane rubi · iminota 9

Ingamba za Roulette za Martingale

Ingamba za Martingale muri roulette zikuba itega kabiri nyuma ya buri gihombo kandi zigasubira ku itega ry'ibanze nyuma y'intsinzi. Buri ntsinzi igarura ibihombo byose byabanje wongeyeho inite imwe y'ibanze. Iyi paji irerekana icyo ibyo bikora ku gishoro cyo gukina, n'impamvu bidashobora guhindura igihombo giteganyijwe.

Igisubizo kigufiNtibutsinda uruziga. Nk'ingamba za roulette zo gukuba kabiri, Martingale itanga intsinzi nto nyinshi n'ibihombo binini rimwe na rimwe. Ku mubare uwo ari wo wose w'amazunguruka igihombo giteganyijwe kiracyari 2,70% y'amafaranga yose yategewe, kandi kubera ko uruhererekane rutega menshi, igihombo giteganyijwe kuri buri mukino kiruta icyo gutega itega rihoraho, ntikiri munsi yacyo.

Uburyo bwa Martingale muri roulette bukora bute?

Utsinzwe, ukuba kabiri. Utsinze, usubira ku itega ry'ibanze. Ubwo ni uburyo bwose. Ufite itega ry'ibanze rya $10 n'imbibi z'ameza za $500, uruhererekane rurangira nyuma y'ibihombo bitandatu. Inkingi ya nyuma ni amahirwe yo kugera kuri iyo ntambwe ku itega ryishyura kimwe ku kindi, aho buri gihombo gifite amahirwe ya 19/37.

igihombo #itega rikurikiraayashyizwe mu kaga yosep(kuhagera)

0$10$10100,00%

1$20$3051,35%

2$40$7026,37%

3$80$15013,54%

4$160$3106,95%

5$320$6303,57%

6$640$1.2701,83%

7$1.280$2.5500,94%

Itega ry'ibanze $10, imbibi z'ameza $500. Nyuma y'ibihombo bitandatu itega rikurikira ni $640, rirenze imbibi: uruhererekane rucika hamaze gutakara $630. Amahirwe y'ibihombo bitandatu bikurikiranye ku mutuku ni (19/37)^6 = 1,83%, hafi rimwe muri buri magerageza 55.

Genda ku buryo

Igihombo gikuba kabiri itega. Intsinzi isubira ku ntangiriro.

itega rikurikira1igisubizo kugeza ubu0amazunguruka0

Amatega n'ibisubizo biri mu nite z'itega ry'ibanze.

Umukino usa ute?

Intambwe nto zizamuka, hanyuma umwobo. Muri Martingale ya roulette buri ruhererekane rwo gukuba kabiri rurangiye rwongeraho itega rimwe ry'ibanze, bityo umurongo ukazamuka buhoro buhoro. Uruhererekane rugeze ku mbibi za $500 rusubiza $630 icyarimwe: intambwe 63 muri izo.

Imikino icumi ya Martingale, ibanze $10, imbibi $500igisubizo ugereranyije n'intangiriro

imikino 1.000 × amazunguruka 500 · ibara rya move p10/p25/p75/p90, ubururu bworoheje mediane, ingero 83 zoroheje · nyura ku gishushanyo urebe quantile ku izunguruka

p10 −$1.000
p25 −$1.000
mediane −$1.000
p75 +$930
p90 +$1.830

imikino 1.000 × amazunguruka 500 · umurongo uhagaze waciwe kuri percentile ya 1–99 (impera −$1.000 kugeza +$2.640) · amazunguruka 500 · ibanze $10 · kimwe ku kindi

Buri murongo ni umukino umwe w'amatega yishyura kimwe ku kindi uhereye ku gishoro cya $1.000. Kuzamuka kurambye, kugwa gutunguranye.

Intambwe nto zizamuka, hanyuma umwobo ubisubiza byose icyarimwe.

Igerageza

Buri hitamo rikoresha imikino 2.000 y'amatega yishyura kimwe ku kindi uhereye ku gishoro cya $1.000. Ibisubizo bihita bihinduka.

Itega ry'ibanze

Imbibi z'ameza

Amazunguruka kuri buri mukino

Ibisubizo by'imikino · imikino 2.000 · amazunguruka 100 · ibanze $10 · imbibi $500igihombo ← | → inyungu

−$1.000$0+$650

shyira akabonezo ku nkingi · inkingi zitukura ni imikino yahombye, iz'icyatsi ni iyatsinze, inkingi y'ibara ryoroheje iri hagati kuri $0

imikino iri mu nyungu

40,8%

median y'ibisubizo

−$130

igisubizo cy'impuzandengo

−$66,44

uruhererekane rwacitse

59,3% by'imikino

percentile ya 5

−$1.000

median y'igabanuka rinini ry'igishoro

−$650

Imikino myinshi irangira iri imbere gato (40,8%), ari na byo bikurura. Impuzandengo iri munsi ya zeru (−$66,44) kubera ko imikino yahombye iba minini: uruhererekane rw'amatega rwageze ku mbibi z'ameza mu 59,3% by'imikino. Umukinnyi utega itega rihoraho rya $10 mu mazunguruka amwe ateganya guhomba hafi $27.

Uruhererekane rw'ibihombo ruza kangahe

Itega ryishyura kimwe ku kindi ku ruziga rufite zeru imwe ritsindwa amazunguruka 19 kuri 37. Buri murongo ni amahirwe y'uko amazunguruka runaka yose atsindwa, n'ibyo umukinnyi wa Martingale, ukuba kabiri itega nyuma ya buri gihombo, aba amaze guhomba icyo gihe.

Itega ry'ibanze

ibihombo bikurikirana	amahirwe	hafi 1 kuri	ibyahombwe kugeza ubu	itega rikurikira
1	51,4%	2	$1	$2
2	26,4%	4	$3	$4
3	13,5%	7	$7	$8
4	7,0%	14	$15	$16
5	3,6%	28	$31	$32
6	1,8%	55	$63	$64
7	0,94%	106	$127	$128
8	0,48%	207	$255	$256
9	0,25%	403	$511	$512
10	0,13%	784	$1.023	$1.024
11	0,065%	1527	$2.047	$2.048
12	0,034%	2974	$4.095	$4.096
13	0,017%	5792	$8.191	$8.192
14	0,0089%	11279	$16.383	$16.384
15	0,0046%	21965	$32.767	$32.768

Amahirwe ni 19/37 akubwe ubwayo rimwe kuri buri gihombo, ubaze uhereye ku izunguruka runaka. Umukino muremure ugira amazunguruka menshi uruhererekane nk'urwo rushobora gutangiriraho, bityo mu mugoroba umwe birashoboka cyane kurusha uko umurongo umwe ubyerekana.

Uruhererekane rw'ibihombo cumi na bitanu ruza hafi rimwe mu magerageza 22.000. Ibyo byumvikana nk'aho nta kaga. Si ko biri, ku mpamvu ebyiri. Buri zunguruka ritangiza igerageza rishya, kandi ijoro rimwe rigira amazunguruka amagana. Kandi nta muntu ugera kuri cumi na gatanu: uhereye ku ibanze rya $10, imbibi za $500 zirangiza ugukuba kabiri nyuma y'ibihombo bitandatu, biza hafi rimwe mu magerageza 55.

Kuki budashobora guhindura odds?

Agaciro gateganyijwe karateranywa. Niba buri tega ku giti caryo rifite ibiteganyijwe bya −2,70% y'itega ryaryo, noneho uruhererekane urwo ari rwo rwose rw'amatega, uko amatega yaba yahiswemo kose, rufite ibiteganyijwe bya −2,70% y'ibyategewe byose. Uguhitamo ingano y'itega gushobora gushingira ku bisubizo byabanje; ntigushobora gushingira ku gikurikira.

E[Σ bᵢ·Xᵢ] = Σ bᵢ·E[Xᵢ] = −(1/37)·Σ bᵢ
bᵢ ihitwamo mbere y'izunguruka i; Xᵢ = ±1 yigenga kuri bᵢ

Imyumvire ikocamye isanzwe

“Ukeneye gutsinda rimwe gusa kugira ngo ugarure byose.”

Ni ukuri mu ruhererekane rurangira. Uruhererekane rutarangira, kubera imbibi z'ameza cyangwa igishoro cyawe, rutakaza uruhererekane rwose, kandi urwo ruhererekane ni runini ku bushake bw'uburyo.

“Ufite igishoro kinini bihagije ntibushobora kunanirwa.”

Imbibi z'ameza zihagarika ugukuba kabiri kera mbere y'uko ibishoro byinshi bishira. Hatabayeho imbibi, igishoro gikenewe gikura mu buryo bwikuba (exponential) mu gihe inyungu kuri buri cyiciro iguma ku nite imwe y'ibanze.

“Ibihombo bitandatu bikurikiranye ntibishoboka rwose.”

Ku mutuku bibaho kuri 1,83% by'amadirishya y'amazunguruka atandatu. Mu mukino w'amazunguruka 200 akenshi uzabona nibura uruhererekane rumwe rw'atandatu.

Akanya k'urwenya

Intsinzi nto nyinshi, igihombo kinini kimwe kidakunze kubaho. Kandi ikirego wishyura ni wowe ubwawe.

Umwanzuro w'imibareUburyo bwa Martingale muri roulette buguranisha amahirwe menshi y'intsinzi nto n'amahirwe make y'igihombo kinini. Ni ubwishingizi bugurishwa mu buryo bunyuranye: ubona umusanzu muto mu majoro menshi maze ukishyura ubwawe ikirego kinini kidakunze kubaho. Bwongera amafaranga ategwa muri buri mukino, bityo bukongera igihombo giteganyijwe kuri buri mukino. Ntibugabanya kandi ntibushobora kugabanya inyungu ya kazino. Niba ukoresha ingamba za Martingale muri roulette uko byagenda kose, menya mbere aho uzacikira: ufite itega ry'ibanze rya $10 n'imbibi za $500, ni ibihombo bitandatu bikurikiranye, ikintu cya 1,8% kuri buri gerageza. Reba Gucunga Igishoro cyo Gukina Roulette na Imbibi z'Igihombo / Imbibi z'Inyungu.