Ingamba zo Gutega muri Roulette · Ibikorwa · iminota 7

Imbibi z'Igihombo / Imbibi z'Inyungu

Itegeko ryo guhagarara ni igice kimwe rukumbi cy'“uburyo” gifite ingaruka nyayo, kuko rihindura ingano y'ibyo utega.

Igisubizo kigufi

Guhagarara kare bigabanya amafaranga yose ategwa, bityo bikagabanya igihombo giteganyijwe. Ntibirema inyungu; imbibi z'inyungu ntizifunga “inyungu” iyo ari yo yose izunguruka rikurikira ritari kuguha cyangwa ngo rikwake.

ingaruka kuri EV / $
nta yo
ingaruka ku mafaranga yose yategewe
nini
ingaruka ku ihindagurika
nini
ufata icyemezo
wowe, mbere

Imbibi z'igihombo

Shyiraho amafaranga wemera gutakaza maze ugende iyo ashize. Bigena ibibi kurusha ibindi bishobora kuba, birangiza umukino mbere y'uko utangira kwiruka inyuma y'ibihombo, kandi bituma ikiguzi giteganyijwe cy'umugoroba kibarwa: ntikirenga na rimwe imbibi z'igihomboingambaImbibi z'igihomboIngano y'igihombo yemejwe mbere, iyo uyigezeho uhagarika umukino.Soma byose →, akenshi kiri munsi yazo. Mu mategeko yose ari kuri uru rubuga, ni ryo rihindura ku buryo bwizewe kurusha ayandi ibiba ku mukinnyi, kuko ari ryo ryonyine rirangiza umukino ku buryo bwizewe.

Imbibi z'inyungu

Shyiraho intego maze ugende iyo uyigezeho. Bituma imikino y'inyungu iba myinshi kandi mito. Mu mikino myinshi impuzandengo iracyari −2,70% by'amafaranga yose yategeweamafarangaAmafaranga yose yategeweAmafaranga yose yategewe mu mukino umwe cyangwa mu gihe runaka, harimo n'intsinzi zongeye gutegwa. Nanone: handle, action.Soma byose →; wahinduye igihe ibihombo biziraho, ntiwabikuyeho. Imvugo “gufunga inyungu” isobanura ibyiyumvo. Izunguruka rikurikira ryari kuba 18/37 buri gihe, waba warikinnye iri joro cyangwa mu cyumweru gitaha.

$10 ku mutuku, ingengo y'imari $500, amazunguruka 100 ntarengwanta guhagararaimbibi z'igihombo $100imbibi z'inyungu $100byombi
imikino irangira hari inyungu≈ 42%≈ 42%≈ 53%≈ 50%
igisubizo cy'impuzandengo−$27−$22−$20−$16
5% by'imikino mibi kurusha−$190−$100−$190−$100
5% by'imikino myiza kurusha+$140+$140+$100+$100
impuzandengo y'amazunguruka yakinwe100≈ 85≈ 75≈ 60
Mu igerageza. Guhagarara bigabanya igihombo cy'impuzandengo gusa binyuze mu kugabanya amazunguruka. Igihombo kuri buri zunguruka ntigihinduka.

Impaka za kera

Niba kureka umukino ufite inyungu bifasha byagiweho impaka igihe kirekire. Umuhanga mu bya logique John Venn yemezaga ko umukinnyi wenyine ushobora guhitamo igihe ahagarara afite inyungu, igihe cyose inguzanyo itagira imbibi. Lord Rayleigh yamusubije ko iyo imitungo y'impande zombi igira iherezo iyo nyungu ibura, kandi theorem z'iki gihe zibyemeza: nta tegeko ryo kumenya igihe uhagarara rihindura igisubizo cy'impuzandengo kuri buri niteamafarangaIniteItega ry'ibanze uburyo cyangwa umukinnyi akoresha. Impererekane z'amatega zisobanurwa mu nite kugira ngo zikoreshwe ku meza ayo ari yo yose.Soma byose → itegewe (Epstein, 2013). Igifaransa gifite imvugo yo kuva ku meza ufite inyungu, faire Charlemagne. Ivuga akamenyero, si inyungu.

John Venn yemezaga ko umukinnyi uhitamo igihe ahagarara afite inyungu; Lord Rayleigh yamusubije ko iyo imitungo igira iherezo iyo nyungu ibura.

Impamvu impuzandengo inozwa

Si uko guhagarara kubona igihe cyiza cyo kugenda. Ni uko umukino urangira nyuma y'amazunguruka 60 uba warategewe amatega 60 aho kuba 100 kandi ukishyura 2,70% ku madolari make. Itegeko iryo ari ryo ryose rigabanya amafaranga yose yategewe rigabanya igihombo giteganyijweimibareIgihombo giteganyijweAgaciro gateganyijwe gakubye amafaranga yose yategewe; igihombo mpuzandengo mu mukino umwe cyangwa mu gihe runaka.Soma byose → mu rugero rumwe neza: imbibi z'igihombo, imbibi z'inyunguingambaImbibi z'inyunguIntego y'inyungu yemejwe mbere, iyo uyigezeho uhagarika umukino.Soma byose →, imbibi z'igihe, umubare w'amazunguruka cyangwa itega rito gusa.

Guhitamo imibare

Imbibi z'igihombo za 20–40% by'ingengo y'imari y'umukino zituma ijoro ribi ryihanganirwa zitarakomeye cyane ku buryo ihindagurikaimibareIhindagurikaIgipimo cy'uko ibisubizo bikwirakwira kure y'agaciro gateganyijwe. Riri hejuru kuri straight up, hasi ku matega yishyura kimwe ku kindi.Soma byose → risanzwe rizigeraho mu majoro menshi. Imbibi z'inyungu za 20–50% by'ingengo y'imari zigerwaho mu mukino usanzwe (amatega yishyura kimwe ku kindi agera kuri +$100 uhereye kuri $500 igihe runaka mu kimwe cya kabiri cy'imikino y'amazunguruka 100) zitari ubusa. Imibare ni iy'umuntu ku giti cye; ikinyabupfura cyo kuyandika si ko kiri.

Imikino icumi ya $10; imbibi z'igihombo za $100 zari kurangiza kare iyamanukagaigisubizo ugereranyije n'intangiriro
+$420$0−$500+$140−$2500125250375500amazungurukaigisubizo
imikino 1.000 × amazunguruka 500 · ibara rya move p10/p25/p75/p90, ubururu bworoheje mediane, ingero 83 zoroheje · nyura ku gishushanyo urebe quantile ku izunguruka
  • p10 −$460
  • p25 −$300
  • mediane −$140
  • p75 +$0
  • p90 +$140
imikino 1.000 × amazunguruka 500 · umurongo uhagaze waciwe kuri percentile ya 1–99 (impera −$500 kugeza +$640) · amazunguruka 500 · ibanze $10 · kimwe ku kindi

Itegeko ku mategeko

Itegeko ryo guhagarara rikora gusa iyo ryafashweho icyemezo mbere y'umukino kandi ntirisubirwemo mu mukino. “Izunguruka rimwe gusa ngo ngaruke aho nari ndi” ni imbibi z'igihombo ziri kongera kuganirwaho n'umuntu zagenewe kurinda. Niba ubona ibyo biba, gabanya itega aho kuzamura imbibi.

Ibibazo

Ese imbibi z'inyungu zitsinda kazino?

Oya. Zituma intsinzi nto ziba kenshi kandi zigasiga impuzandengo y'igihe kirekire kuri −2,70% by'ibyo wategeye.

Ese imbibi z'igihe ni nziza nk'imbibi z'igihombo?

Zigabanya amafaranga yose yategewe mu buryo bumwe kandi zoroshye kubahiriza. Koresha zombi.

Bite ndamutse ngeze ku mbibi z'inyungu kare?

Genda. Ni ryo tegeko. Amazunguruka utakinnye nta cyo agutwara.

Akanya k'urwenya

Guhagarara bigabanya amafaranga yose yategewe. Ni byo byonyine bikora, kandi birahagije.

Guhagarara bigabanya amafaranga yose yategewe. Ni byo byonyine bikora, kandi birahagije.

Inkomoko

  1. RouletteDoc. Incamake y'ingamba za roulette. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77. Incamake y'ingamba za roulette. https://roulette77.us/strategies
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Igice cya 13, roulette.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
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