Ibikoresho · Mubazi

Mubazi y'Ibyago byo Gushira Igishoro

Amahirwe yo kugera ku ntego y'inyungu mbere yo gutakaza igishoro cyose, utega itega rihoraho ryishyura kimwe ku kindi.

Igishoro cyo gukina

Itega

Intego

kugera ku ntego

24,6%

gushira igishoro mbere

75,4%

intego

+$250

inite (a / b)

50 / 25

amazunguruka ateganyijwe kugeza birangiye

1.168

EV y'igerageza

−$315,70

Gusoma igisubizo

Utega $10 buri gihe, ufite amahirwe 24,6% yo guhindura $500 ikaba $750 mbere y'uko igishoro gishira. Amatega manini yongera ayo mahirwe kuko amazunguruka make asobanura imisoro mike ya 2,70%; ariko anatuma urugendo ruhindagurika cyane. Gerageza amatega ya $100 ugereranye n'aya $5 urebe ingaruka.

Uburyo n'ibyo bishingiyeho

Gushira igishoro k'umukinnyi (gambler’s ruin) hamwe na p = 18/37: P(intego) = (1 − (q/p)ᵃ)/(1 − (q/p)ᵃ⁺ᵇ), a = igishoro/itega, b = intego/itega. Igihe giteganyijwe a/(q−p) − (a+b)·P/(q−p). Amatega ahoraho yishyura kimwe ku kindi gusa.